April 04, 2004

Lightning strikes 5.89 times

Given billions of copyrighted works, from Web pages to feature films, the stats show that it's probably harder to get sued in a copyright case than to get hit by lightning. - Stephen Manes

1:700,000 - Chance of getting struck by lightning. (Source)
1:120,000 - Chance of getting struck with a copyright suit. (Math in extended entry)
1:5.89 - Ratio of chance of getting struck by lightning to chance of getting struck with copyright suit.

(Lessig responds to the rest of the article, I just felt like correcting the math.)

To figure out the chance of getting struck with a copyright suit I used a US population of 290,809,777; the estimated population for 2003. The number of copyright suits in 2003 according to Manes was 2,448 and 2,448/290,809,777 = 118,794.8435457516.

Posted by george at April 4, 2004 03:27 PM
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TrackBack URL: http://mt.gnerd.net/mt-gnerd-tb.cgi/253

April fools? Innumeracy? Simply incorrect math?

Posted by: gabe at April 5, 2004 12:17 AM

'twas but a typo. I'm not usually so paranoid. :-P

Posted by: gabe at April 5, 2004 03:32 PM
Odd of getting struck by lightning vs. getting sued in a copyright case
Excerpt: Apparently you are 5.89 times likelier to get sued for...
Read the rest...
Trackback from: savedelete at April 6, 2004 11:24 PM

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